Betting basketball, especially the NBA is wildly different from the NFL. Obviously, there are more games and teams can afford to rest or lose several games along the way. Often, I will bet a game early in the morning, only to see a player ruled out later and are stuck with a bad number, which becomes a loser. It happens. When building an NBA model, when you run the model can have the same affect. The spreads drift throughout the day with resting news and injury information coming up as the day progresses. I want you to all be aware that we kept our NFL model data to ourselves for years. I think it took around two years before we felt like we knew what it was saying. We are trying to replicate that success with an NBA model, but there is going to be some growing pains. To explain simply, tread lightly.
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NBA Model Plays
Nets +4.5
Lakers -9
TWolves +11.5
Spurs +8.5
Bulls +9.5 (Highest rated by the model)
NBA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
NCAA Odds Boosts You Should Consider Betting
I am making this one category today. Why? Fan Duel has one boost listed, for NFL. Draft Kings does not even have the odds boost tab up on their app at the moment. I realize it is an NFL playoffs week, but come on. Fox Bet barely has anything either at this point. This is very disappointing.
For today, I am looking into a few games.
NCAAB
Dayton -11.5
Fordham is 0-2 and predicted to finish dead last in the Atlantic 10. Dayton has yet to play a true road game, but this is the worst team they have played to this point.
NBA
Bulls +9.5
Backing a terrible team on the road in a notoriously tough place to play seems weird. The Bulls have not been that bad this year and the Blazers have been inconsistent. The model really likes the Bulls and I agree. The NBA has had one major upset, every night this season.
Joe Harris over 2.5 Made 3-Point Field Goals +140
Kevin Durant is out. Harris should play close to 30 minutes tonight. Harris has made two 3’s in every single game this year. He has gone over the number three times in seven games this year.
Let’s Get Weird
Nothing tonight.
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 3-5 37.50%
NCAA Record 3-5 37.50%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-4 +071
Hoops Odds Boosts 1-2 -090
NBA Model 0-0 0%
NFL
2020 Season Record
Overall 138-107 56.33%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 24-15 61.54%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 26-20 56.52%
Win The Weekends 