Week 17 is weird in a normal year. This year with Covid is even more bizarre. Alvin Kamara will miss the Saints game this week and can only play next week if New Orleans plays on Sunday. I bet the NFL makes that happen. Please be hyper-aware of motivation, bonuses and resting. Lines are going to look a little strange, but please research and understand why.
Never forget that sports betting is a game with no end date. There is always another game, another day, or another sport. Bad runs are going to happen. Make sure you are practicing bankroll management and working on your process. As always, if you have any questions about anything just hit me up on twitter and I will get back to you eventually.
Week 17 Odds Boost You Should Consider
Draft Kings
100% odds boost on the Orange Bowl.
I know this is not NFL, but if you want to play the game, I would use this.
The rest of the DK boosts are all themes of a certain NFL outcome and honestly, meh. I mean I get it the sites do not want to hang a boost and find out a team has Covid or is resting people and get crushed.
Fan Duel
Pat’s Picks
He has something about JJ Watt, but is there a reason he plays all the snaps he normally does in a meaningless game? I will pass on spots where there is little motivation.
Extra Points for Extra Pay
None listed.
Minus Three’s Boost
None listed.
Single Game Parlay
This used to be fun and free.
FD also has a Dallas/Washington/Cleveland parlay, but yeah, I am not backing the first two teams right now.
Fox Bet
Mike Evans and Calvin Ridley Combined over 175 receiving yards +100
I really like this. Evans needs a certain amount for a contract bonus and the Falcons have not been terrible. They had a combined 273 just a few weeks ago. (Max is $100)
Derrick Henry 223 or more rushing yards. +2000
This would give him 2000 yards on the season and at this price might be good to play. I am using some of my free bets on this.
If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter.
Plays I Will Be On
TBD
I will post what I do on twitter, as this week is very fluid between motivation and Covid. I will do the same with any and all hoops plays I make today.
These lines are based on the Westgate Super Contest and lock on Wednesday night.
(Despite our weighting of the rest and Covid situation, both the Chiefs and Steelers grade out as nice plays)
Computer Model
Platinum Plays
None
Premium Plays
PIT +9
KC +3.5
Regular Plays
MIA +1
CIN +12.5
DET +6.5
NE -3
NYG +1.5
TB -6.5
GB -5.5
LVR -2.5
JAX +14
LAR +2.5
SF+6
NO -6.5
HOU +7.5
WAS -2.5
Basketball
2020-2021 Season Record
NBA Record 2-4 33.33%
NCAA Record 2-5 28.57%
Hoops Parlay Record 2-3 +171
Hoops Odds Boosts 1-0 +110
NFL
2020 Season Record
Overall 127-103 55.22%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 23-14 62.16%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 25-19 56.81%
Win The Weekends 