Sometimes an odds boost looks too good to be true. Sometimes a certain team keeps being placed in odds boosts. Why? Are they a public team that may garner attention? Are they an island game that everyone is going to watch? If so, what side will the public overwhelming be on in that game?
We have this exact scenario in the NFL today. The public is on Green Bay and Buffalo. The odds boosts are all over Buffalo. Seriously, most of the major sites have the Bills in some odds boost. This is where we need to be smart when looking at the big picture. The books have no issue taking on a ton of Buffalo money, in odds boosts, straight bets, teasers and parlays. It really makes you wonder why, but you should be able to figure that out.
Make sure you listen to my podcast with Jeff Collins from Numberball.com, it is also posted on You Tube. Please like and subscribe here. We break down every game against the spread and give you our picks at the end.
My NBA season long bets and preview will be coming early next week. I am also starting to look into NCAA betting and of course will track and record every bet I give out for full transparency.
Week 15 Odds Boost You Should Consider
Draft Kings
Joel Embiid over 7.5 point in the first Sixers game +100.
This has a max bet of $25, but is free money. His actual prop should be somewhere in the mid to high twenties.
Why did Draft Kings throw the Bills in every odds boost? Hmmmm.
Fan Duel
Pat’s Picks
GB -.5/Tenn -3.5/Ind +.5 +170
This looks like the best boost of the weekend on FD. Bet your max $50.
Extra Points for Extra Pay
Buff -4.5/Cle -4.5/Min -2.5 +520
The books keep throwing Buffalo in these odds boosts. Hmmmm.
Buff/SEA/KC ML Parlay +270
Wow, the Bills show up again…..Hmmmmmmmm.
Minus Three’s Boost
Eagles +6.5 +110
If you listened to the pod, you know I am on the Eagles. I will go ahead and fire the $50 max on this one.
Single Game Parlay
They keep changing how this works and what you need to make sure you get a refund if it loses. This is not as great as it once was.
Fox Bet
Buff/GB Money line Parlay +100
Why do you think the Bills keep showing up in these parlays? Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm.
If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter.
Plays I Will Be On (Line I bet is listed first, followed by current line)
Denver +7 (Now +6)
The Bills are coming off a massive win and now go on the road where the Broncos have not quit on the season. I think Bills win an ugly one, but this is a great let down spot. Denver can and will run the ball on Buffalo, something the Steelers could not take advantage of. Buffalo is the Admiral Akbar play of the week.
CAR +8.5 (Now +7.5
Teddy Bridgewater has been excellent as a dog this season and his entire career. Outside of the two Tampa Bay games, the Panthers have not been beaten by more than eight points, in any other game. Packers win, but do not cover the spread here.
Minn -3
Vikings win last week if they had a kicker. This line looks dramatically different if that is the case. Bears played their best game of the season last week. Inconsistent teams remain just that, inconsistent.
These lines are based on the Westgate Super Contest and lock on Wednesday night.
Computer Model
Platinum Plays
None
Premium Plays
None
Regular Plays
LAC +3.5
CAR +8.5
BUF -6.5
IND -7
DET +10.5
NYJ +17
TB -6
MIA -2.5
WAS +5.4
CHI +3
JAX +13.5
NYG +4
PHI +6
NO +3
SF -3
PIT -13
2020 Season Record
Overall 113-89 55.94%
Platinum 2-5 28.57%
Premium 21-14 60%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 23-19 54.76%
Win The Weekends 