NFL Week 7 Odds Boosts You Should Bet and Computer Model Plays

It felt like I was on an island with Tampa Bay last weekend. I think besides Jeff Collins and myself the rest of the world was on Green Bay. That worked out very well. There can be a massive edge to be on the opposite side of the public in certain situations when betting NFL games. However, the public will be right too. While Tampa Bay was not a public side last week, it certainly will be this week. The Bucs broke the computer model this week and it expects Tampa Bay to easily win and cover against the Raiders. This is a massive public side, my computer loves it and it feels almost too easy. I am scared of the Bucs this week, despite the COVID situation for the Raiders. To hear a complete breakdown of all the games you can find the video on YouTube here. The audio only version is here.

As always, shop around and look for the best numbers but there are some very good betting opportunities you should consider this week.

Week 7 Odds Boost You Should Consider
Draft Kings
I think they heard me over at Draft Kings. This week you can boost the odds by 10% on seven different games! Instead of paying -110, you could be +100 on every wager. Sign me up!

Fan Duel
Steelers +1.5 +110
I am just backing the Steelers at plus money in this spot every time. This odds boost is max $50.

Pat’s Picks
Bills -5.5, ARZ +9.5, Pitt +7.5 +200
This is an auto max bet, but the wager is $50 max.

Single Game Parlay
On FD you can get a $10 one every single week and if it loses, you get a refund. You must opt in and should take advantage.

Fox Bet
Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson to both have two + TD passes +130. This looks solid.


If anything else is posted on sites, I will mention them on Twitter.

Plays I Will Be On
Carolina +7.5
This is too many points and the Saints may not have Michael Thomas again.

TB -3.5
This is such a public play it scares me. Raiders will have zero practice and no offensive line meetings before playing the No.1 DVOA defense.

Pitt +1
It seems like I am going to be on the Steelers every week.

Computer Model
Platinum Plays
TB -3

Premium Plays
CAR +7.5

Regular Plays
NYG +4.5
CLE +3
WAS PK
DET +2.5
NYJ +13.5
GB -3.5
ARZ +3.5
SF +2.5
KC -9.5
PIT +1
JAX +8
CHI +5.5

2020 Season Record
Overall 46-43 51.69%
Platinum 1-4 20%
Premium 13-6 68.42%
Recommended Plays (Platinum + Premium) 14-10 58.33%