Week 2, there is always an overreaction. The teams that looked awful are not as bad as they seem, and some teams that played exceptionally will probably come back down to Earth. It is always good to be careful and not over-weigh just one game. Football is such a small sample size game and one play, penalty, or drop can really change the perception of a team. Just ask any Lions, Cowboys, or Bengals fans about that.
Conversely, there are always teams that I will cause me to have a blind spot. I talked about this on the weekly NumberBall/NumberBet podcast with Jeff Collins. I am afraid that the Vikings may be my team this year. I leaned Minnesota last week, but like them this week. Of course, I and by proxy our model may be way off on them for the second straight week.
The one game I vehemently disagree with my model about is the Pittsburgh/Denver game. There is no way I am siding with the Broncos. Denver struggled to move the ball last week and now is facing an even better defense on the road. No thank you. I will be on the Steelers. Speaking of the Steelers, I was able to take part in the early testing for the new Barstool Sportsbook app. The app is fine, but it was not until I saw their odds boosts that made me feel like I had to deposit.
I am already on the Steelers at 25/1 to win the title and they are already down to around 22/1. I can add a little more at 55/1! Sign me up for the new Barstool Sportsbook account and this odds boost.
Week 2 Odds Boost To consider
Draft Kings
25% Profit Boost on any one single week two game. You have to opt in and then select the game you want. If you like a dog, maybe oh I do not know the Vikings, you can take their money line from +148 to +185. Of course, you can also just play them at +3 and get +121. Whatever game is your best play should be in consideration here.
Fan Duel
Nothing. They have nothing listed for Sunday.
Fox Bet
Baker Mayfield or Joe Burrow to throw at least one interception. This has been boosted from -650 (LOL) to +100. The down side is the max bet is $10. It seems that Fox Bet is going to be offering this auto bet odds boosts, that all have a $10 max bet. I guess we just all take the free $10.
Lamar Jackson 70+ rushing yards and Ravens Win +200. If this game is competitive, Lamar will have the chance to get here. He ran for 79 in the blowout win over the Texans last year.
Week 2 Plays
Platinum
Minn +3
NE +4
Premium
Denver +7.5
SF -7
Bal -7
Regular Plays
Cin +6
PHI -1
Car +9
Dal -4.5
BUF -5.5
Det +6
NYG +5.5
JAX +8.5
WAS +6.5
LAC +8.5
NO -5.5
2020 Season Record
Overall 9-7 56.25%
Platinum 1-0 100%
Premium 3-0 100%
Win The Weekends 