Week 2 has already started and the computer is already 1-0! Looking ahead to DFS this weekend and things are not as clear as week one. There are two games with massive totals we should be targeting. There are a few games that could blowout. There are spots that could be very contrarian. Week 2 is always strange as teams that lost are not as bad as they looked and teams that won are not as good as they look. Week 2 normally brings to regression, both positive and negative. I am very leery or spots that look too good and too obvious. I will reserve those for cash games. We do have a strange situation that all four teams from Monday Night Football have not had their prices adjusted much at all. This leads to some tremendous value.
Without further ado my week two player pool!
Quarterback
Phillip Rivers – Detroit might be bad on defense.
Lamar – I will fade him again at my detriment. GULP.
Gardner the Goat – He is so cheap and could be my cash game QB. What could possibly go wrong?
Ben – Home/Road splits are a thing. Dalton threw for over 400 yards on Seattle.
Jared Goff – Massive total and he is at home. This feels like a great GPP spot.
Carr – Ohhh, I played Foles against KC and I will go right back and attack them again.
Running Backs
Kamara – He is the best play of the week at RB. I may go 100% here.
Ingram – I like him better than Lamar again.
Austin Ekeler – Chargers missing pass catchers, he might be even more involved in the pass game.
Sony – Man I want to play him in GPP so badly.
Gio – Mixon seems like he may play so Gio won’t make a lineup if this keeps up.
Wide Receiver
Deon Cain – Min price in a rough game.
Travis Benjamin – Chargers have to play two WR at some point.
Keenan Allen – Allen will be one of them.
Amari Cooper – Speed burner killed Wash last week.
Dede – I like Gardner the Goat a little too much.
Tyler Lockett – Need to run back my Steeler stacks with someone.
DK – Maybe this guy instead?
JUJU – Steelers stack looks fantastic to me.
Donte Concrete – Yes, he dropped a pass or two, but he is going to get another shot this week.
Michael Thomas – I will be game stacking this game.
Cooper Kupp – Solid and will be a cash game staple this week.
The Gazelle – Too cheap and gets the Chiefs. I want to play two Raiders in cash. Not a fan.
Tight End
Darren Waller – CHALK as he should be.
Engram – If he gets that many targets again, he is too cheap.
Hock – The admiral Akbar play of the week. Alternatively, he’s just really good.
Kittle – Too much value at TE to play him, so he will be low owned.
Defense
Chicago – Get to play Denver
Denver – Get to play Chicago
Other – I don’t have this figured out yet.
There is a significant amount of data that says playing two tight ends is not a winning GPP strategy, but man, this week feels different. There are three cheap TE’s you can play that allow you to stack and play pretty much whomever you want. I will be playing two tight ends in some GPP lineups, maybe even in cash. It feels wrong because it is negative EV according to data and past GPP history. I think it is important to try to think of each week as a separate entity, but there are rules we always must follow. We know that stacking and running it back is almost required to win a GPP in every scenario.
If you are following on Twitter, you saw that yesterday I won a Wild Cat ticket ($333) playing baseball. I have been trying for weeks and falling just short several times, but yesterday I broke through. The question as always is what stack do I want to run in this contest? I know what stacks I am planning on, but do I play it safe or do I go a little off the menu. If you know me or have been following I think, you know the answer.
Good luck everyone!
Win The Weekends 