On most Thursdays we will be posting our computer model picks. You can see the record of the computer model below. We documented our history of the computer model and the record it has achieved before. The computer model is pretty consistent and can be used to help advise in picks leagues or when making wagers. The computer model will always use the spreads from the Hilton NFL Handicapping Super Contest. These spreads are set on Wednesday night and thus, we use them for our model. Perhaps you are in a similar contest where you pick five games against the spread every week. I know I am.
Last week the computer had zero Platinum plays and seven premium plays going 4-3. This week is a little different story. As you can tell by the spreads this week Vegas has over adjusted several teams for obvious reasons. Our computer model will remain steady in what it believes though, based on the data it has.
*Sam Darnold was just ruled out right before time of publication. If you are in a picks contest where the lines have locked, you should be taking Cleveland. The line is going to jump a lot and there is an edge to be had. Bumping Cleveland up to a premium play because of the news.
Platinum Plays
Miami +18.5
KC -7
Premium Plays
LAC -2.5
INDY +3
NYG +1.5
JAX +9
NO +2.5
Cle -2.5
Regular Plays
TB +6.5
SEA +4
CIN -2
MIN +3
Wash +5
ARZ +13
CHI -2.5
ATL +1.5
College Picks
My College selections have done pretty well. We are 4-4 in individual game selections, but a sweet 4-0 on parlays and teasers, meaning we are plus money for the year. This week brings a difficult challenge as my Pitt Panthers play a team I hate in Penn State. Pitt has looked horrid at times this year and the Nittany Lions have looked strong besides the first half against Buffalo.
PSU -17
I am all over PSU here. I suppose my worst-case scenario is PSU winning and not covering the spread. Pitt has struggled to score and PSU has not. Pitt has been out scored in the second half in both of their games. Pitt may keep it close for a half, but this will get ugly. I think the line is too low and should be around 21.5 or so. I am about making money, not thinking my team is better than it is.
UCF -8
Stanford has scored a combined 37 points in their two games and lost their starting quarterback. UCF has scored 110 points in the first two games. I realize that Stanford plays slow, but UCF plays extremely fast. If UCF gets a lead early, Stanford could be in big trouble. I am laying the points in this one.
Boston College -21 (Friday Night)
Make sure you get this wager in now before the line goes up. Also, it is a Friday night game. Boston College is quietly pretty good and Kansas despite a new head coach is still awful. Kansas struggled to beat Indiana State and lost to Coastal Carolina. Kansas cannot score so BC is going to win this game. This feels like a nice 35-0 shutout for the Eagles.
Illinois -7
Illinois started the year strong, but blew a lead at UCONN last week and still held on to win. This is the last game for Illinois before the Big Ten schedule starts and a must win if they are going to head to a bowl game.
Four Team 7 Point Teaser +200
PSU -10
UCF -1
BC -14
Ill PK
Platinum 0-0 (%)
Premium 4-3 (57.14%)
Overall 11-5 (68.75%)
College Teasers and Parlays 4-0 (100%) +440
College Picks 4-4 (50%)
NFL Teasers and Parlays 3-1 (75%) +380
NFL Picks 4-1 (80%)
Overall Teasers and Parlays 7-1 (87.5%) +820
Overall Picks 8-5 (61.53%)
Baseball Record 89-59 +2359
Baseball Parlays 28-74 -995
Win The Weekends 