I enjoy the hedge life. I like locking up a win. Half the reason I make some of the wager I do, is too extract value and then make money on them. I have said since the beginning, I don’t think the Nuggets can win the title. Yet, I have two different wagers on them to do just that. I believe that the Nuggets true odds are much better than 30/1. They are currently at around 18/1. If Kevin Durant is actually hurt and out for any length of time, I am sure the value I have built in on the Nuggets will in fact go up. The Plan all along was to hedge and bet against the Nuggets in the Western Conference finals. It may have just got easier to do so.
The next two nights present some very unique opportunities. I have a small wager on Portland at 30/1 to win the NBA title as well. Since they are facing an elimination game tonight, I want to bet against them to get my money out should they lose tonight. I assumed Portland would be favored in game 6 at home and that gives me a small window to middle and win all the bets. I will be taking Denver +3.5 tonight. If Denver wins out right, I get my money back from my Portland future. If Portland wins, my future is live and I lose this wager. I also have a small three-point window in which my Portland future lives and my Denver +3.5 comes in too. I am actually rooting for Denver to win, move on and I get my money out on Portland.
Speaking of windows, the Golden State Warriors are massive underdogs Friday night. As you can see below I have the Rockets to win the series and a separate bet on the Rockets to win in seven games. To make sure I don’t lose any money, I will take some of the built in equity and bet it on Golden State Friday night. I thought I would have a tiny middle window, but here I am with at least seven points. My dream scenario is the Rockets winning a close game and not covering. I am going to wait to lock in the number on Golden State, just in case it goes up a little.
I am actually going to the Sixers game tonight and will be posting pictures! Good luck everyone!
Current Open Bets
1. Nuggets 30/1 To Win NBA Title
2. Nuggets 28/1 To Win NBA Title
3. Portland 30/1 To Win NBA Title
4. Rockets to beat GS +235 Series Price
5. Rockets in 7 +850
NBA Record 53-46 (53.53%)
NBA Parlay and Teaser Record 10-19 +468
NBA Playoff Record 6-5 (54.54%)
NBA Playoff Parlay and Teaser Record 3-6 +68
Basketball Total Record 93-79 (54.06%)
Basketball Parlay and Teaser Record 13-38 -22
Baseball Record 1-1 -60
Baseball Parlays 2-2 87
Win The Weekends 