What a crazy few days betting. The Warriors lost at home for the second time these playoffs and cost me three parlays at this point. Man. I did win my series long parlay on all the favorites in round one, but that wasn’t my biggest win. I needed the Nuggets to win in round one, but they were favored in game seven. So I hedged. My hedge came with a caveat. I had a five-point possible middle. I bet the Spurs +6 and hoped Denver won and didn’t cover. Thankfully, the Spurs did whatever they did on that end of game scenario and the Spurs were good. I won both of my bigger wagers and despite a losing record as it shows below, I am actually up after round one of the playoff.
Before round two started I made one wager, I took the Rockets to beat the Warriors at +240. I honestly think they are going to win this series. Yes, they lost game one, but they shot so terribly from behind the arc. If you count game seven from last year that’s two straight games the Rockets couldn’t make a three against the Warriors. That has to flip. I think the Rockets still win this series. But how? Well, the Rockets are not going to win the next four and win in five games. I suppose I could take the Rockets at +350 to win the series. However, I see a better option.
Rockets in 6 +800
Rockets in 7 +850
Both of those wagers seem like a much better plan than taking the Rockets to win the series. After all, they are not winning the next four games in a row. I am going to do just that. I am really invested in the Rockets and Nuggets now. In theory I have hedge opportunities against Golden State in this round and for sure in the next too.
For tonight I am jumping on one game. I know this is a terrible matchup and I know they are going to lose the series, but I like the Sixers +6.5 tonight. This is not a must win, but it feels like they need to have a better showing than game one. If Kawhai and Siakim shoot like that again it won’t matter, but I think Philly puts up a massive fight. Sixers +6.5.
Current Open Bet
1. Nuggets 30/1 To Win NBA Title
2. Nuggets 28/1 To Win NBA Title
3. Portland 30/1 To Win NBA Title
4. Rockets to beat GS +235 Series Price
5. Rockets in 6 +800
6. Rockets in 7 +850
NBA Record 50-44 (53.19%)
NBA Parlay and Teaser Record 9-18 -50
NBA Playoff Record 3-3 (50%)
NBA Playoff Parlay and Teaser Record 1-4 -390
Basketball Total Record 90-77 (53.89%)
Basketball Parlay and Teaser Record 12-36 -440
Baseball Record 0-1 -160
Baseball Parlays 0-1 -100
Win The Weekends 