It’s that time of the year. It’s officially fall asleep on the couch watching the late NBA playoff game season. During football season this only happens twice a week. At this point it happens more often than I would like to admit. I woke up last night with about three minutes left in the Utah and Houston game. Clearly, had to watch the end and check my DFS baseball lineups before stumbling to bed for the next four hours. This is not ideal in any way. I don’t want to do this, but I always say I will just watch the first quarter and go to bed. This is a lie. I repeat this lie to myself almost every week night.
The East has featured four teams that were clearly better than everyone else. Soon, we will see those four teams battle. As a Sixers fan I want to believe they can actually win the East, but I don’t think anyone is getting by Milwaukee. That is unless the Celtics figure it out. I am not going to over react to the Celtics sweeping the Pacers. That is what they should have done. Outside of making a bet on the Bucks to win the NBA title, I am not touching these series prices. I will however be targeting some games when the time is right.
The Western conference presents us with some interesting opportunities. As you may know I have a ticket on the Nuggets to win the title. Today I am adding more to the Nuggets and also buying a Portland title ticket. Why? Can either of those teams beat Golden State? Probably not, but I don’t need them to. I am just looking to hedge in the western conference finals. It is almost a lock that one of those two teams will play in the Western conference finals. At that point I will happily hedge and bet against them. I could do this in the series price or in an elimination game. Both Portland and Denver are 30/1 to win the NBA title at the moment. The math should be in our favor to hedge in the future and lock up a nice win.
I still have my large parlay on all the favorites to win their series in round one of the NBA playoffs. None of them are in any danger except maybe Denver. I believe Denver wins tonight and finishes off the Spurs. If the Nuggets face an elimination game, I will just bet the Spurs for the amount of my parlay and get myself out of it even. I don’t expect to have to do that though. I assume Denver wins tonight and it is a non-issue.
Speaking of tonight…
5 Team Money Line Parlay
Toronto
Philly
Denver
Portland
Golden State
+230
Golden State plays tomorrow, but the other four are tonight. I could see Portland being a tight game, but I will take them at home against the Thunder who are looking to go home. Also, Portland -4. Paul George is hurt, and the Trailblazers are so tough at home. Dame continues to dominate and they will advance tonight. Feels like another night of falling asleep on the couch watching the playoffs.
Current Open Bets
Nuggets 28/1 To Win NBA Title
7 Team Round one NBA Parlay (Excludes Portland) +200
NBA Record 49-43 (53.26%)
NBA Parlay and Teaser Record 8-16 +183
NBA Playoff Record 2-2 (50%)
NBA Parlay and Teaser Record 0-2 -200
Basketball Total Record 89-76 (53.93%)
Basketball Parlay and Teaser Record 11-34 -17
Baseball Record 0-1 -160
Baseball Parlays 0-1 -100
Win The Weekends 