This is such a weird sports moment. The NBA is slowly grinding to the playoffs. College basketball is down to three games left. The Masters is a week away. Baseball is just getting started. From a gambling and fantasy standpoint, I hate the next few day.
The NBA at this point is very difficult to figure out and bet on or play in terms of DFS. Motivation for every team is bizarre and late scratches and inactive players are very common. It can be overwhelming to figure it all out while also worrying about other things. (Like life, kids, wife, baseball lineups, etc.) I think I am going to be done with NBA wagering and DFS until the playoffs start in a few weeks. I will have some series bets for sure once the matchups are lined up. Part of the reward for having NBA league pass and watching games all year is we should have an idea how these teams will play against each other in a seven game series. I also need to prepare to hedge my Denver Nuggets 28/1 to win the title ticket I have.
I don’t know a ton about golf and the PGA tour, but of course I am in a PGA fantasy league and will make DFS lineups for the Masters. DFS golf is such a great bang for your buck. Four days of play for one entry fee! I will post my lineups next week before the Masters starts. I plan to two do things, fade Tiger Woods and fade Jordan Spieth. Spieth has been awful for what feels like two years now.
I truly forgot how frustrating DFS baseball can be. You can get your pitching right, but watch all your hitters do nothing. Just as hard to watch is your lineup hit five home runs and then one of your pitchers get shelled. That happened to me this past weekend. I am already looking forward to the NFL being back.
I can win or finish in the money in all my bracket pools if one of two things happen. If Michigan State loses Saturday and Virginia wins, I will clinch a money finish. If Virginia wins it all I will also clinch a money finish. The big question is, do I hedge now to lock up a win, or wait until the finals and hope Virginia is there. Auburn at +210 does seem like a great hedge spot. I do think Virginia is going to grind them into the ground. I could always take Auburn at +5.5 and hope Virginia wins, but doesn’t cover and then win all the money. I am kind of thinking that I should bet Auburn and basically have a free roll of trying to middle the situation. Meaning I should win twice as much if Virginia wins but doesn’t cover. As long as Virginia wins one game, I calculated that I should win about $250 for sure. I am looking at this as a free $250 I can bet. Now, if Virginia wins by 1-5, I win my wager and the $250 from the brackets. I basically have no risk to win twice as much. If Virginia loses, I get the $250 I win on my bet and lose my brackets.
I do really like Virginia and think that they will cover, however I am going to bet Auburn at +5.5 to try and win all the money. In the second game I really like what Texas Tech has been doing. Yes, Michigan State has the coach and pedigree of past history, but this feels like it’s Texas Tech’s time. They went through the toughest path physically possible beating a 14, 6, 2, 1. I realize that Michigan State had a similar path that included Duke. I just really like TT’s defense. I am going to take TT +2.5.
Good Luck everyone!
NBA Record 47-41 (53.40%)
NBA Parlay and Teaser Record 8-14 +383
College Basketball Record 38-32 (54.28%)
NCAA Tourney Record 17-15 (53.12%)
College Parlay and Teaser Record 2-17 -1250
Basketball Total Record 85-73 (53.79%)
Basketball Parlay and Teaser Record 10-31 -867
Win The Weekends 