We made it. The final game of the year. Oddly, the game I have had the least feel for. My heart wants the Pats to lose. My head feels like the Pats can throw the ball and win. I have bet against the Pats two games in a row and lost. I have bet on the Rams two weeks in a row and won. Did I bet the game? NO. There is no need. There is so much to bet on!
I have loved Super Bowl prop bets since I can remember. It all started my freshman year of college when I really started betting on my own. I had Brandon Stoakley for first TD at I think 25/1. When Stoakley (I don’t know how to spell his name and don’t care. He’s an American hero to me) scored I was pumped. My $20 wager meant a lot of pizza money in college.
The following year I had “Field” for first TD and will be there be a defensive TD, YES. The New England Patriots as massive dogs had me hit both in the first quarter. As a sophomore in college I told my friends, get more beer and dominoes on me. Making over $1,000 in the first quarter of the Super Bowl felt amazing. Two years in a row I crushed the props and was hooked.
The following year I had the Bucs on the money line, with the points and will there be a defensive TD, Yes. Crushed again.
The change happened the year the Steelers played the Seahawks. I knew my team. I knew how the game would play. Willie Parker total carries prop was set at 18.5. He has not carried more than 14 times in the last 9 games. The Steelers won all those games. The Steelers were winning this game and Jerome Bettis was gonna close it out as Parker watched from the bench. I bet more on this prop than anything I had bet in my life. UNDER Willie Parker Total Carries 18.5. Parker’s final stat line, 10 carries for 93 yards and one massive prop bet win for me.
Now, the game is almost irrelevant in terms of betting. Last year I had the Pats and lost. But, I won every single one of my prop bets on Brady and the Pats WR’s. I made a nice profit. I am thinking along the same lines this year.
I am just going to come out and say I like the Rams. I think they win a close game. I didn’t bet it, but so what. What did I bet?
Tom Brady Total Completions OVER 26.5 -110
Julian Edelman Over 6.5 Receptions -110
Julian Edelman Over 80.5 Receiving Yards -110
Tom Brady Over 2.5 TD Passes +155
Julian Edelman UNDER 11.5 Longest Punt Return
I think the Pats can and will throw the ball on the Rams. I keep going back to the Cowboys playoff game and thinking how a competent offense should have throw the ball like crazy against them. Yes, I realize the Saints didn’t the following week.
The one wager I wanted to make but could not find at Hollywood Casino was will Pat Devlin score and the Pats win. I hear it paid off an insane number and I would have bet it, but it wasn’t there. Easy Pretzel also said he saw will Devlin score a TD at +1200. I would have bet that, but it was +220 at Hollywood. No thanks. Originally, I was going to bet will either team convert a 4th down at -240. Yesterday it was -470. No thanks. We must be smart and not lay too much juice. I also like any props involving Robert Woods going Over. BOB WOODS as he is called in my house has been a favorite in DFS.
If you are playing the Draft Kings and Fan Duel single game slates, you obviously have to play both QB’s. (I mean is anyone not playing these? LOL) On DK I will go with a cheaper captain like Hogan or Gronk and jam in the studs.
My wings are almost ready and it’s time to have some beers. Oh for the game?
Rams 27 Pats 24
Win The Weekends 