Week 3 is here and we should be smarter this week. We have another week of data and games to watch and dissect. I already took the Steelers -1 and have two teases open from this post the other day. We just watched Ferdinand for the fifth time in our house and today we will try to out smart the matador.
MIA -3
The Raiders are so bad. This is a classic west coast team traveling East for a 1 PM start in the Miami Heat. The professionals are on Oakland and the public is not really on the Dolphins. Oakland has no defense and Miami is above average on both sides of the ball. Dolphins defense also a nice DFS play.
NO +3
Atlanta defense is injured and the Saints are due to break out. Everyone things this will be a shootout, but both teams in the mid to high twenties feels about right.
Two Team Teaser
NE PK
PITT +6
Lay the -120 and watch this win come in.
The Undertaker Total of the Week
(GONG……..MY GOD THAT’S THE UNDERTAKER’S MUSIC)
PHILLY/INDY UNDER 47.5
Admiral Akbar Games of the Day
The game to be afraid of today is the Packers. They are begging you to take GB -2.5. I would also caution all of you on taking the Bears today. Laying more than three with Mitch on the road? This certainly feels like a spot where Arizona at least puts up a fight. Run away from both of these.
Week Three DFS Stacks
Disclaimer***
When you are stacking you must ALWAYS play a QB with a WR from their team and run it back with a player from the opposing team. All the data says that is the optimal way to play, even if it doesn’t work every week. The goal here is to give ourselves the best opportunity for a big GPP score. I am not playing to cash, I am playing with win GPP’s.
Draft Kings
Jimmy G/Goodwin/Hunt
Ryan/Julio/Thomas
Brees/Kamara/Thomas/Julio
Corey Clement is the Admiral Akbar play of the day. IT’S A TRAP!!!!!!!! Do I have some Clement, yes, but the warning signs are there. Clement tweaked a hamstring Friday, he isn’t built to get 25 touches, Wentz is back and he throws it downfield more than Foles. Clement could easily get 35% or the touches and make value, but I just don’t see how he smashes. It feels more likely he busts than blows up. I really want some of the Chargers passing game today as they have to do something to stay with the Rams. Insert Mike Williams. I like Kamara today, as does everyone else, but I want Gurley and the safe 30 touches.
Fan Duel
Jimmy G/Goodwin/Kelce
Jimmy G/Goodwin/TYFREAK
Brees/Kamara/Thomas/Julio
Ryan/Kamara/Julio/Thomas
Fan Duel has made Lat Murray way too cheap for the situation. I am playing him 100% on FD and close to that on DK. Murray is a much better play than Clement, or Gio. The Touches are secure; the game script makes a lot of sense as well. I am all in on Goodwin. If he is inactive at 11:30 today, the scramble will begin. The sneaky defense plays of the day are Dallas and Washington. Both are getting pressure on the QB and will have turnover opportunities.
Pending any news this is my plan. It could change if anything else comes out between now and lock.
Win The Weekends 